deeply engaged all night

April 13, 2018 by  

Through backtesting, we’ve found that certain stocks have an unusual consistency of beating consensus estimates. We explain this phenomenon in more detail in a previous post, but the idea is that analysts may forecast lower earnings to generate an earnings surprise in order to stimulate trading1, to obtain access to management2, or to confirm a prior sentiment on a stock3. With that in mind, it’s important to consider whether a stock has consistently beaten analyst expectations in the past, to see if it’s likely to happen again.

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